{"id":6717,"date":"2009-07-07T09:03:49","date_gmt":"2009-07-07T06:03:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/redgatecapital.eu\/veikko-maripuu-a-big-plan-to-recover-from-the-crisis-eesti-paevaleht-in-estonian\/"},"modified":"2009-07-07T09:03:49","modified_gmt":"2009-07-07T06:03:49","slug":"veikko-maripuu-a-big-plan-to-recover-from-the-crisis-eesti-paevaleht-in-estonian","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redgatecapital.eu\/en\/veikko-maripuu-a-big-plan-to-recover-from-the-crisis-eesti-paevaleht-in-estonian\/","title":{"rendered":"Veikko Maripuu: a big plan to recover from the crisis (Eesti P\u00e4evaleht, in Estonian)"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Veikko Maripuu thinks that it is too early to tell whether the biggest economical crisis is finally starting to ease. We have to thank the world\u2019s biggest governments and central banks for their efforts to stabilize the world\u2019s economy.<\/p>\n

But not all countries show signs of recovery. One of these countries is Estonia. Estonia still needs a plan to enable the focus of\u00a0the economy to be moved from consumption to export.<\/p>\n

Estonia needs a boost like Slovakia: a big cut of wages and other expenses; tax relief for effective and high value adding exporters; a support program for small and medium sized enterprises; and improvement of infrastructure and the business environment. In addition, Estonia needs the private and public sector to cooperate to bring more non bank-loan related investment to Estonia.<\/p>\n

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Suurest kriisist toob v\u00e4lja suur plaan<\/a><\/p>\n

Hiljuti avaldatud OECD majandusraport algab selge s\u00f5numiga: \u201eEsimest korda alates 2007. aasta juulist on raportis esitatud prognoose v\u00f5rreldes eelmise raportiga korrigeeritud \u00fclespoole.\u201d<\/p>\n

Tegelikult on vara \u00f6elda, kas \u00fcks suuremaid majanduskriise hakkab l\u00f5plikult seljataha j\u00e4\u00e4ma. Olukord on stabiliseerumas, kuid kaugel endisest. Samal ajal on selge, et kriis oleks v\u00f5inud kujuneda palju hullemaks, arvestades, kui s\u00fcgav paistis vallandunud stiihia eelmisel s\u00fcgisel.<\/p>\n

Esimeste maailmamajanduse stabiliseerumise m\u00e4rkide eest tuleb t\u00e4nada maailma suuremate valitsuste ja keskpankade senin\u00e4htamatuid j\u00f5upingutusi. Massiivsed riiklikud abipaketid, keskpankade rahapoliitika ja finantss\u00fcsteemi kiire stabiliseerimine l\u00f5id peamised eeldused ebakindluse v\u00e4hendamiseks. Tuleb tunnistada, et majanduse ergutamine avaliku sektori v\u00f5la abil on v\u00f5imalik vaid l\u00fchiajaliselt. L\u00fchikeses perspektiivis pole abipakettide j\u00e4tkamisele siiski h\u00e4id alternatiive, neid rakendavatel valitsustel tuleb hoolikalt j\u00e4lgida, et abiprogrammid t\u00f5mmataks kokku enne inflatsiooniprobleemide tekkimist.<\/p>\n

Iseenesest ei juhtu midagi<\/strong><\/p>\n

Paraku pole k\u00f5ikjal maailmas majanduse stabiliseerumisest veel selliseid m\u00e4rke kui n\u00e4iteks USA-s v\u00f5i Hiinas. Nende piirkondade hulka kuulub ka Eesti. Sisen\u00f5udlust moodustavatest sektoritest sisuliselt mitte \u00fckski \u2013 ei avaliku sektori tarbimine, eratarbimine ega investeeringud \u2013 ei n\u00e4ita m\u00e4rke, mis v\u00f5iksid nad l\u00e4hiajal muuta majanduse kasvumootoriks. Ka ekspordi olukord pole parem, mis viitab, et Eesti ekspordi konkurentsiv\u00f5imega on kehvad lood.<\/p>\n

Konkurentsiv\u00f5ime suurendamiseks on Eesti valinud kulude v\u00e4hendamise tee. Et majanduse konkurentsiv\u00f5ime taastamine kulude v\u00e4hendamise kaudu on raskem ja pikaajalisem kui \u00fcldiselt arvatakse, tuleb v\u00e4ltimatult tegeleda ka muude abin\u00f5udega.<\/p>\n

Peamistest majandust m\u00f5jutavatest valdkondadest on Eesti tingimustes k\u00f5ige raskem m\u00f5jutada eratarbimist: kui t\u00f6\u00f6puudus suureneb ja sissetulekud kahanevad, samal ajal kui\u00a0 laenumaksed ja n\u00e4iteks kommunaalkulud j\u00e4\u00e4vad senisele tasemele, j\u00e4\u00e4b eratarbimine endiselt ebakindlaks.<\/p>\n

M\u00f5nev\u00f5rra paremini on v\u00f5imalik suunata avaliku sektori tarbimist, kindlasti tuleb tegeleda uute rahastamisallikate leidmise ja toetamisega ning pikaajalise konkurentsiv\u00f5ime suurendamisega. Avaliku sektori tarbimine t\u00f5mbub tulude kahanemise t\u00f5ttu veelgi kokku. L\u00e4hiaastatel muutuks see olukord vaid juhul, kui valitsus otsustaks kaasata lisaraha, sest riigiv\u00f5la maht on Eestis \u00f5nneks veel v\u00e4ike. Olgu \u00f6eldud, et sellist sammu v\u00f5iks toetada vaid tingimusel, kui sellest rahast ei kulutataks sentigi jooksvate kulude katmiseks.<\/p>\n

Lisaraha kaasamise v\u00f5imalust pakuvad laenuprogrammid m\u00f5ne institutsiooniga, nagu Euroopa Investeerimispangaga v\u00f5i P\u00f5hjamaade Investeerimispangaga, ja riigi v\u00f5lakirjade v\u00e4ljaandmine. Juuni keskel toimunud Leedu v\u00f5lakirjaemissioon n\u00e4itab, et valitsuse v\u00f5lakirjade j\u00e4rele valitseb n\u00f5udlus hoolimata Baltimaadega seotud kartusest. Arvestades riigireitingute erinevust, oleks Eesti v\u00f5lakirjade intress ka oluliselt madalam kui Leedu v\u00f5lakirjadel.<\/p>\n

Majanduse rahastamise v\u00f5imalused uue erakapitaliga on v\u00f5rreldes eelmise viie-kuue aastaga t\u00e4ielikult muutunud. Ent oodata uusi investeeringuid seni, kuni olukord Eesti konkurentsiv\u00f5ime ja kohanemisega on selgemaks saanud,\u00a0 ei saa \u2013 uute rahastamisallikate otsimisega tuleb l\u00e4bim\u00f5eldult tegeleda juba n\u00fc\u00fcd.<\/p>\n

Praegu on Eestis m\u00e4rgata pikaajaliste, valdkonda tundvate ostjate huvi kasvu \u00fclev\u00f5tmistehingute vastu, tehinguid on hakanud toimuma nii kohalike kui ka v\u00e4lisinvestorite osav\u00f5tul. Ka maailma kapitaliturgude tehingumahud hakkavad surnud punktist t\u00f5usma. Hoolimata Baltimaade vastu tuntavast ebakindlusest saab seda olukorda \u00e4ra kasutada Eestiski. Kontaktid potentsiaalsete investoritega nii kodus kui ka v\u00e4ljapool n\u00e4itavad, et huvi tugevate ettev\u00f5tete vastu suureneb. See teeb v\u00f5imalikuks m\u00f5nede riigi omanduses olevate ettev\u00f5tete osalise m\u00fc\u00fcgi, m\u00f5ne ettev\u00f5tte puhul eelistatavalt b\u00f6rsil noteerimise kaudu, sest sel juhul on Eesti tugevatesse ettev\u00f5tetesse v\u00f5imalik investeerida ka kohalike investoritel.<\/p>\n

Mujal maailmas laialt kasutatavatel riskikapitali investeeringutel on Eestis veel v\u00e4ike osakaal. Hoolimata Arengufondi loomisest on meil seni riskikapitali t\u00fc\u00fcpi investeeringute ligimeelitamisele ja neile sobiva keskkonna loomisele riigi tasemel v\u00e4he t\u00e4helepanu p\u00f6\u00f6ratud. Selle poolest on L\u00e4ti ja Leedu j\u00f5udnud Eestist kaugemale. Vaja on parandada riskikapitali tegevuskeskkonda, pannes reaalselt k\u00e4ima public-private partnership\u2019i t\u00fc\u00fcpi koost\u00f6\u00f6 ja suunates valdkonda Euroopa toetusraha.<\/p>\n

Puudub suur plaan<\/strong><\/p>\n

Pikemale ajale m\u00f5eldes pole Eestil alternatiivi konkurentsiv\u00f5ime suurendamisele ja ekspordi kasvatamisele. M\u00f5ne sammuga oleme k\u00fcll \u00f5igel teel: uus t\u00f6\u00f6lepinguseadus, maksus\u00fcsteemi kohandamine kaudsete maksude suunas, m\u00f5ned uued eksporditoetuste meetmed. Kuid suur kriis n\u00f5uab suurt plaani, mida Eestil seni pole \u2013 selget ja terviklikku plaani, kuidas suunata Eesti majandus sisen\u00f5udluse alalt peamiselt ekspordisektorisse. Ka devalveerimist saab v\u00e4ltida \u00fcksnes suure plaani rakendamisega, eurole \u00fclemineku kava \u00fcksi pole selleks piisavalt t\u00f5hus.<\/p>\n

Eesti vajab t\u00f5uget, millesarnase on l\u00e4bi teinud n\u00e4iteks Slovakkia: palkade ja muude kulude tugev k\u00e4rpimine (sealhulgas surve suletud sektori tariifide v\u00e4hendamiseks), maksusoodustused efektiivsetele ja suurt lisandv\u00e4\u00e4rtust andvatele eksportijatele, abiprogrammid v\u00e4ike- ja keskmise suurusega ettev\u00f5tetele, infrastruktuuri ja tegevuskeskkonna parandamine. Lisaks sellele avaliku ja erasektori koost\u00f6\u00f6 selleks, et tuua j\u00e4rgnevatel aastatel majandusse senisest oluliselt enam pangalaenudest s\u00f5ltumatut investeerimisraha.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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